How Exposed are Canadian Cities to Tariff Risk?

What We're Showing

After a month-long pause, proposed U.S. tariffs are once again casting a long shadow over Canada. This map, with data from the Canadian Chamber of Commerce Business Data Lab (BDL), is an overview of which Canadian cities are likely to be the hardest hit by tariffs.

The Canadian economy will take a hit when proposed tariffs from the Trump Administration come into effect, though negative impacts will not be felt equally across the country. Specific cities and sectors are facing disproportionate risk.

See the dataset tab for the specific risk scores of 41 different communities.

Trump Tariff Hotspots

• Cities in Southern Ontario which are deeply embedded in the automotive and steel sectors (e.g. Windsor, Hamilton, and Oshawa) face the prospect of job losses and economic slowdown if the trade spat grinds on too long.
• Calgary, a major export hub for fossil fuels, has especially high risk of economic impacts. In addition to the oil and gas sector, Alberta’s cattle industry would get grilled by tariffs as the U.S. is the top export market for Canadian beef.
• Specific communities in Québec, such as Saguenay and Trois-Rivières, face big risks in this coming trade war. For example, Saguenay is a key aluminum hub, with U.S. exports making up over one-fifth of the local economy.
• Saint John, New Brunswick has the distinction of the being the most “tariff exposed” city in Canada. The city is home to the largest oil refinery in Canada, exporting 80% of its product to the U.S.