What We're Showing
This visualization shows the betting market odds for potential 2028 U.S. presidential candidates, using data from Polymarket as of September 16, 2025.
Not all candidates with less than 3% odds are shown in the infographic.
Key Takeaways
- Current U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance leads with a 27% chance, followed closely by Governor of California Gavin Newsom at 22%.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (7%) and Marco Rubio (5%) are the next two leading Democratic and Republican Party candidates.
- Despite being ineligible for a third term, Donald Trump still holds 2.7% odds, while outsiders like Elon Musk (0.7%) and Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson (3.5%) also register, highlighting the breadth of speculative candidates considered.
