Jul 23, 2025
Poland just discovered its largest oil field. How much does it really matter?

We analyzed the data behind the Wolin find, and here’s what it actually means:
- 22 million tons of oil = 3 months of Germany’s consumption
- For Poland? A 6–12 percentage point drop in oil import dependency
- For Europe? Just 3 weeks of supply
The big picture:
✔ Important for Poland’s balance of payments
✗ Not a game-changer for EU energy independence
⚠ Production won’t begin until 2029, and the field will be depleted within 6 years
Environmental impact? High.
Economic impact?Modest.
Symbolic value? Significant.