MapsJul 5, 2024

Hurricane Risk on the U.S. Eastern Seaboard for 2024

What We're Showing

This map shows the risk of counties along the Atlantic coastline seeing a hurricane make landfall in 2024. The brighter the red, the higher the risk. As well, we've included population density spikes for context. After all, we're chiefly worried about hurricanes when they impact people and the places we live.

This data comes from the CSU Tropical Weather & Climate Research dataset. See the data tab for county-level risk numbers, as well as data from other states, provinces, and countries in North America.

3 Things to Know

Hurricane season in the U.S. generally runs from June through November, with September seeing the most tropical storm activity
The tip of Florida has the highest risk of a hurricane making landfall. This area includes Miami and Key West
Other areas with elevated risk include: North Carolina's Outer Banks, the environs of New Orleans, and counties adjacent to Houston, Texas

Dataset

State	County	NS_events	H_events	MH_events	NS_current	H_current	MH_current	NS_climo	H_climo	MH_climo
Alabama		123	46	12	78%	43%	14%	58%	28%	8%
Alabama	Baldwin	75	28	9	60%	29%	10%	41%	18%	6%
Alabama	Mobile	67	28	8	56%	29%	9%	38%	18%	6%
Connecticut		35	11	2	35%	13%	2%	22%	8%	1%
Connecticut	Fairfield	27	9	2	28%	10%	2%	17%	6%	1%
Connecticut	Middlesex	24	10	2	25%	11%	2%	16%	7%	1%
Connecticut	New Haven	32	11	2	32%	13%	2%	20%	8%	1%
Connecticut	New London	27	10	2	28%	11%	2%	17%	7%	1%
Delaware		36	9	1	35%	10%	1%	23%	6%	1%
Delaware	Kent	23	4	0	24%	5%	<1%	15%	3%	<1%
Delaware	New Castle	18	1	0	20%	1%	<1%	12%	1%	<1%
Delaware	Sussex	32	9	1	32%	10%	1%	20%	6%	1%
Florida		274	115	48	96%	75%	44%	86%	56%	29%
Florida	Bay	58	26	7	51%	27%	8%	34%	17%	5%
Florida	Brevard	78	26	8	61%	27%	9%	42%	17%	6%
Florida	Broward	77	36	16	61%	35%	18%	42%	23%	11%
Florida	Charlotte	67	26	15	56%	27%	17%	38%	17%	10%
Florida	Citrus	59	26	4	51%	27%	5%	34%	17%	3%
Florida	Collier	77	34	19	61%	34%	21%	42%	21%	13%
Florida	Dixie	61	19	2	52%	21%	2%	35%	13%	1%
Florida	Duval	67	22	5	56%	23%	6%	38%	14%	3%
Florida	Escambia	69	27	10	57%	28%	11%	39%	17%	7%
Florida	Flagler	59	22	3	51%	23%	4%	34%	14%	2%
Florida	Franklin	60	21	4	52%	23%	5%	35%	14%	3%
Florida	Gulf	59	23	4	51%	24%	5%	34%	15%	3%
Florida	Hernando	58	26	6	51%	27%	7%	34%	17%	4%
Florida	Hillsborough	63	27	10	53%	28%	11%	36%	17%	7%
Florida	Indian River	65	26	9	55%	27%	10%	37%	17%	6%
Florida	Jefferson	56	14	1	49%	16%	1%	33%	9%	1%
Florida	Lee	71	28	17	58%	29%	19%	40%	18%	11%
Florida	Levy	62	22	4	53%	23%	5%	36%	14%	3%
Florida	Manatee	65	28	11	55%	29%	13%	37%	18%	8%
Florida	Martin	67	27	10	56%	28%	11%	38%	17%	7%
Florida	Miami-Dade	79	37	21	62%	36%	23%	43%	23%	14%
Florida	Monroe	103	50	26	71%	46%	27%	52%	30%	17%
Florida	Nassau	69	20	5	57%	22%	6%	39%	13%	3%
Florida	Okaloosa	62	24	8	53%	25%	9%	36%	16%	6%
Florida	Palm Beach	77	34	13	61%	34%	15%	42%	21%	9%
Florida	Pasco	63	26	7	53%	27%	8%	36%	17%	5%
Florida	Pinellas	64	26	10	54%	27%	11%	36%	17%	7%
Florida	Santa Rosa	61	25	8	52%	26%	9%	35%	16%	6%
Florida	Sarasota	63	26	12	53%	27%	14%	36%	17%	8%
Florida	St. Johns	68	23	5	56%	24%	6%	38%	15%	3%
Florida	St. Lucie	63	23	8	53%	24%	9%	36%	15%	6%
Florida	Taylor	62	16	1	53%	18%	1%	36%	11%	1%
Florida	Volusia	69	26	3	57%	27%	4%	39%	17%	2%
Florida	Wakulla	54	18	2	48%	20%	2%	32%	12%	1%
Florida	Walton	60	26	8	52%	27%	9%	35%	17%	6%
Georgia		140	51	9	82%	46%	10%	63%	30%	6%
Georgia	Bryan	69	21	3	57%	23%	4%	39%	14%	2%
Georgia	Camden	72	18	5	58%	20%	6%	40%	12%	3%
Georgia	Chatham	72	22	4	58%	23%	5%	40%	14%	3%
Georgia	Glynn	64	15	5	54%	17%	6%	36%	10%	3%
Georgia	Liberty	72	22	4	58%	23%	5%	40%	14%	3%
Georgia	McIntosh	69	21	4	57%	23%	5%	39%	14%	3%
Louisiana		151	68	22	84%	56%	23%	66%	38%	14%
Louisiana	Cameron	53	23	7	47%	24%	8%	31%	15%	5%
Louisiana	Iberia	59	25	7	51%	26%	8%	34%	16%	5%
Louisiana	Jefferson	67	30	8	56%	31%	9%	38%	19%	6%
Louisiana	Lafourche	71	33	8	58%	33%	9%	40%	21%	6%
Louisiana	Orleans	54	23	6	48%	24%	7%	32%	15%	4%
Louisiana	Plaquemines	80	35	10	62%	35%	11%	43%	22%	7%
Louisiana	St. Bernard	74	33	11	59%	33%	13%	41%	21%	8%
Louisiana	St. Mary	61	27	6	52%	28%	7%	35%	17%	4%
Louisiana	St. Tammany	58	24	6	51%	25%	7%	34%	16%	4%
Louisiana	Terrebonne	79	34	9	62%	34%	10%	43%	21%	6%
Louisiana	Vermilion	52	24	7	47%	25%	8%	31%	16%	5%
Maine		34	10	2	34%	11%	2%	21%	7%	1%
Maine	Cumberland	18	3	0	20%	4%	<1%	12%	2%	<1%
Maine	Hancock	16	6	1	18%	7%	1%	11%	4%	1%
Maine	Knox	20	6	1	22%	7%	1%	13%	4%	1%
Maine	Lincoln	16	3	0	18%	4%	<1%	11%	2%	<1%
Maine	Sagadahoc	17	3	0	19%	4%	<1%	11%	2%	<1%
Maine	Waldo	15	3	0	17%	4%	<1%	10%	2%	<1%
Maine	Washington	18	6	1	20%	7%	1%	12%	4%	1%
Maine	York	22	5	1	23%	6%	1%	14%	3%	1%
Maryland		52	16	1	47%	18%	1%	31%	11%	1%
Maryland	Anne Arundel	18	1	0	20%	1%	<1%	12%	1%	<1%
Maryland	Baltimore	15	1	0	17%	1%	<1%	10%	1%	<1%
Maryland	Baltimore City	12	1	0	14%	1%	<1%	8%	1%	<1%
Maryland	Calvert	21	2	0	23%	2%	<1%	14%	1%	<1%
Maryland	Cecil	18	1	0	20%	1%	<1%	12%	1%	<1%
Maryland	Dorchester	26	5	0	27%	6%	<1%	17%	3%	<1%
Maryland	Harford	15	0	0	17%	0%	<1%	10%	0%	<1%
Maryland	Kent	18	0	0	20%	0%	<1%	12%	0%	<1%
Maryland	Queen Anne's	19	1	0	21%	1%	<1%	13%	1%	<1%
Maryland	Somerset	33	9	0	33%	10%	<1%	21%	6%	<1%
Maryland	St. Mary's	27	3	0	28%	4%	<1%	17%	2%	<1%
Maryland	Talbot	20	1	0	22%	1%	<1%	13%	1%	<1%
Maryland	Wicomico	28	6	0	29%	7%	<1%	18%	4%	<1%
Maryland	Worcester	38	13	1	37%	15%	1%	24%	9%	1%
Massachusetts		56	22	4	49%	23%	5%	33%	14%	3%
Massachusetts	Barnstable	26	13	2	27%	15%	2%	17%	9%	1%
Massachusetts	Dukes	31	11	2	31%	13%	2%	20%	8%	1%
Massachusetts	Essex	22	7	1	23%	8%	1%	14%	5%	1%
Massachusetts	Nantucket	30	14	2	31%	16%	2%	19%	9%	1%
Massachusetts	Norfolk	23	7	1	24%	8%	1%	15%	5%	1%
Massachusetts	Plymouth	25	10	2	26%	11%	2%	16%	7%	1%
Massachusetts	Suffolk	22	7	1	23%	8%	1%	14%	5%	1%
Mississippi		106	47	11	72%	43%	13%	53%	28%	8%
Mississippi	Hancock	54	22	6	48%	23%	7%	32%	14%	4%
Mississippi	Harrison	59	26	6	51%	27%	7%	34%	17%	4%
Mississippi	Jackson	55	24	8	49%	25%	9%	32%	16%	6%
New Hampshire		28	8	2	29%	9%	2%	18%	6%	1%
New Hampshire	Rockingham	22	5	1	23%	6%	1%	14%	3%	1%
New Jersey		36	10	1	35%	11%	1%	23%	7%	1%
New Jersey	Atlantic	27	10	1	28%	11%	1%	17%	7%	1%
New Jersey	Burlington	25	8	0	26%	9%	<1%	16%	6%	<1%
New Jersey	Cape May	28	10	1	29%	11%	1%	18%	7%	1%
New Jersey	Essex	20	4	0	22%	5%	<1%	13%	3%	<1%
New Jersey	Hudson	20	4	0	22%	5%	<1%	13%	3%	<1%
New Jersey	Middlesex	21	5	0	23%	6%	<1%	14%	3%	<1%
New Jersey	Monmouth	25	9	1	26%	10%	1%	16%	6%	1%
New Jersey	Ocean	28	10	1	29%	11%	1%	18%	7%	1%
New Jersey	Salem	18	2	0	20%	2%	<1%	12%	1%	<1%
New Jersey	Union	20	4	0	22%	5%	<1%	13%	3%	<1%
New York		43	14	3	41%	16%	4%	26%	9%	2%
New York	Bronx	23	7	1	24%	8%	1%	15%	5%	1%
New York	Kings	21	6	0	23%	7%	<1%	14%	4%	<1%
New York	Nassau	24	8	2	25%	9%	2%	16%	6%	1%
New York	New York	26	9	1	27%	10%	1%	17%	6%	1%
New York	Queens	24	8	1	25%	9%	1%	16%	6%	1%
New York	Richmond	23	7	0	24%	8%	<1%	15%	5%	<1%
New York	Suffolk	33	12	3	33%	14%	4%	21%	8%	2%
New York	Westchester	24	7	1	25%	8%	1%	16%	5%	1%
North Carolina		159	68	11	85%	56%	13%	68%	38%	8%
North Carolina	Beaufort	66	22	1	55%	23%	1%	37%	14%	1%
North Carolina	Bertie	57	15	1	50%	17%	1%	33%	10%	1%
North Carolina	Brunswick	74	32	6	59%	32%	7%	41%	20%	4%
North Carolina	Camden	61	20	1	52%	22%	1%	35%	13%	1%
North Carolina	Carteret	92	46	6	67%	43%	7%	48%	28%	4%
North Carolina	Chowan	49	17	1	45%	19%	1%	29%	11%	1%
North Carolina	Craven	76	31	1	60%	31%	1%	42%	20%	1%
North Carolina	Currituck	63	22	2	53%	23%	2%	36%	14%	1%
North Carolina	Dare	94	45	6	68%	42%	7%	49%	27%	4%
North Carolina	Gates	41	12	0	39%	14%	<1%	25%	8%	<1%
North Carolina	Hertford	46	11	0	43%	13%	<1%	28%	8%	<1%
North Carolina	Hyde	97	45	5	69%	42%	6%	50%	27%	3%
North Carolina	New Hanover	71	32	6	58%	32%	7%	40%	20%	4%
North Carolina	Onslow	74	35	5	59%	35%	6%	41%	22%	3%
North Carolina	Pamlico	73	31	2	59%	31%	2%	40%	20%	1%
North Carolina	Pasquotank	55	19	1	49%	21%	1%	32%	13%	1%
North Carolina	Pender	76	35	6	60%	35%	7%	42%	22%	4%
North Carolina	Perquimans	52	18	1	47%	20%	1%	31%	12%	1%
North Carolina	Tyrrell	64	26	2	54%	27%	2%	36%	17%	1%
North Carolina	Washington	58	19	1	51%	21%	1%	34%	13%	1%
Rhode Island		32	11	2	32%	13%	2%	20%	8%	1%
Rhode Island	Bristol	21	8	2	23%	9%	2%	14%	6%	1%
Rhode Island	Kent	23	8	1	24%	9%	1%	15%	6%	1%
Rhode Island	Newport	25	10	2	26%	11%	2%	16%	7%	1%
Rhode Island	Providence	25	9	1	26%	10%	1%	16%	6%	1%
Rhode Island	Washington/South	28	9	2	29%	10%	2%	18%	6%	1%
South Carolina		118	48	12	76%	44%	14%	57%	29%	8%
South Carolina	Beaufort	67	22	5	56%	23%	6%	38%	14%	3%
South Carolina	Charleston	80	33	7	62%	33%	8%	43%	21%	5%
South Carolina	Colleton	71	26	6	58%	27%	7%	40%	17%	4%
South Carolina	Georgetown	64	27	6	54%	28%	7%	36%	17%	4%
South Carolina	Horry	69	32	6	57%	32%	7%	39%	20%	4%
South Carolina	Jasper	69	21	4	57%	23%	5%	39%	14%	3%
Texas		133	64	24	80%	54%	25%	61%	36%	16%
Texas	Aransas	30	16	7	31%	18%	8%	19%	11%	5%
Texas	Brazoria	51	25	7	46%	26%	8%	30%	16%	5%
Texas	Calhoun	41	20	7	39%	22%	8%	25%	13%	5%
Texas	Cameron	39	20	7	38%	22%	8%	24%	13%	5%
Texas	Chambers	51	24	7	46%	25%	8%	30%	16%	5%
Texas	Galveston	58	29	8	51%	30%	9%	34%	19%	6%
Texas	Harris	49	24	6	45%	25%	7%	29%	16%	4%
Texas	Jefferson	49	25	6	45%	26%	7%	29%	16%	4%
Texas	Kenedy	39	21	10	38%	23%	11%	24%	14%	7%
Texas	Kleberg	36	19	8	35%	21%	9%	23%	13%	6%
Texas	Matagorda	54	27	11	48%	28%	13%	32%	17%	8%
Texas	Nueces	39	21	9	38%	23%	10%	24%	14%	6%
Texas	Refugio	34	14	6	34%	16%	7%	21%	9%	4%
Texas	San Patricio	34	17	7	34%	19%	8%	21%	11%	5%
Texas	Willacy	35	19	8	35%	21%	9%	22%	13%	6%
Virginia		86	31	2	65%	31%	2%	46%	20%	1%
Virginia	Accomack	44	13	0	41%	15%	<1%	27%	9%	<1%
Virginia	Gloucester	34	7	0	34%	8%	<1%	21%	5%	<1%
Virginia	Hampton	44	12	0	41%	14%	<1%	27%	8%	<1%
Virginia	Lancaster	31	5	0	31%	6%	<1%	20%	3%	<1%
Virginia	Mathews	34	7	0	34%	8%	<1%	21%	5%	<1%
Virginia	Middlesex	33	5	0	33%	6%	<1%	21%	3%	<1%
Virginia	Newport News	35	8	0	35%	9%	<1%	22%	6%	<1%
Virginia	Norfolk	42	12	0	40%	14%	<1%	26%	8%	<1%
Virginia	Northampton	44	13	0	41%	15%	<1%	27%	9%	<1%
Virginia	Northumberland	30	5	0	31%	6%	<1%	19%	3%	<1%
Virginia	Poquoson	38	9	0	37%	10%	<1%	24%	6%	<1%
Virginia	Portsmouth	38	10	0	37%	11%	<1%	24%	7%	<1%
Virginia	Suffolk	41	11	0	39%	13%	<1%	25%	8%	<1%
Virginia	Virginia Beach	50	18	0	46%	20%	<1%	30%	12%	<1%
Virginia	York	40	9	0	38%	10%	<1%	25%	6%	<1%
Canada		100	48	2	70%	44%	2%	51%	29%	1%
New Brunswick		57	11	1	50%	13%	1%	33%	8%	1%
Newfoundland and Labrador		43	24	1	41%	25%	1%	26%	16%	1%
Nova Scotia		77	44	1	61%	41%	1%	42%	27%	1%
Prince Edward Island		14	9	0	16%	10%	<1%	9%	6%	<1%
Mexico		204	83	29	92%	64%	30%	76%	44%	19%
Campeche		89	33	7	66%	33%	8%	47%	21%	5%
Quintana Roo		139	57	23	82%	50%	24%	63%	33%	15%
Tabasco		40	8	0	38%	9%	<1%	25%	6%	<1%
Tamaulipas		89	43	14	66%	41%	16%	47%	26%	9%
Veracruz		83	32	4	64%	32%	5%	44%	20%	3%
Yucatan		107	43	18	73%	41%	20%	53%	26%	12%
Anguilla		61	28	12	52%	29%	14%	35%	18%	8%
Antigua and Barbuda		46	23	10	43%	24%	11%	28%	15%	7%
Aruba		15	7	0	17%	8%	<1%	10%	5%	<1%
Bahamas, The		237	106	50	94%	72%	46%	81%	53%	30%
Barbados		47	9	2	43%	10%	2%	28%	6%	1%
Belize		76	30	9	60%	31%	10%	42%	19%	6%
Bermuda		71	42	17	58%	40%	19%	40%	26%	11%
Bonaire		11	5	0	13%	6%	<1%	8%	3%	<1%
Cabo Verde		25	4	0	26%	5%	<1%	16%	3%	<1%
Cayman Islands		71	37	11	58%	36%	13%	40%	23%	8%
Costa Rica		8	3	1	9%	4%	1%	6%	2%	1%
Cuba		204	102	41	92%	71%	39%	76%	51%	25%
Curacao		13	6	0	15%	7%	<1%	9%	4%	<1%
Dominica		57	21	10	50%	23%	11%	33%	14%	7%
Dominican Republic		123	61	26	78%	52%	27%	58%	35%	17%
Grenada		46	10	1	43%	11%	1%	28%	7%	1%
Guadeloupe		59	28	10	51%	29%	11%	34%	18%	7%
Guatemala		68	23	4	56%	24%	5%	38%	15%	3%
Haiti		82	42	14	63%	40%	16%	44%	26%	9%
Honduras		146	46	16	83%	43%	18%	64%	28%	11%
Jamaica		88	36	12	66%	35%	14%	46%	23%	8%
Martinique		59	17	6	51%	19%	7%	34%	11%	4%
Montserrat		43	22	8	41%	23%	9%	26%	14%	6%
Nicaragua		62	25	11	53%	26%	13%	36%	16%	8%
Panama		2	1	0	2%	1%	<1%	1%	1%	<1%
Puerto Rico		73	38	14	59%	37%	16%	40%	24%	9%
Saba		39	23	9	38%	24%	10%	24%	15%	6%
Saint Kitts and Nevis		59	32	13	51%	32%	15%	34%	20%	9%
Saint Lucia		73	15	5	59%	17%	6%	40%	10%	3%
Saint Martin		43	23	11	41%	24%	13%	26%	15%	8%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines		74	13	2	59%	15%	2%	41%	9%	1%
Sint Eustatius		40	23	11	38%	24%	13%	25%	15%	8%
Sint Maarten		43	23	11	41%	24%	13%	26%	15%	8%
Trinidad and Tobago		11	3	0	13%	4%	<1%	8%	2%	<1%
Turks and Caicos		73	32	16	59%	32%	18%	40%	20%	11%
UK Virgin Islands		69	35	15	57%	35%	17%	39%	22%	10%
US Virgin Islands		57	30	12	50%	31%	14%	33%	19%	8%