Where Data Tells the Story
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The Asian Development Bank, in its Asian Growth Outlook July 2025 update, has revised downwards growth projections for many Asian economies. This downward revision has been attributed to factors like – growing global trade uncertainty, escalating tariffs, a fragile Chinese property sector, and geopolitical risks that include flaring tensions in the Middle East (West Asia). The emergence of these factors has cast a shadow over the region’s economic outlook.
Despite recording strong first quarter growth, the outlook for 2025 for seven out of eleven major economies appear bleak – reflecting not just global headwinds, but also country-specific vulnerabilities. There are economies that have weathered the storm – on the back of structural strengths and/or sector-specific tailwinds. The pattern of revisions allows us to probe the ways in which Asia’s diverse economies are – absorbing or resisting – the global shocks of 2025!
Key Takeaways:
Note: Percentage points (PP) is the arithmetic difference between two percentages, not a relative change.
Source: Forecasts for real GDP have been published by the Asian Development Bank in its Asia Growth Outlook July 2025 release